TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26c3…e26d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back - Map 2 Winnerbacked DashSkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$38.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$9.05
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$32.72
Counter-Strike: Players vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$41.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69%+$62.14
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$31.48
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.2
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.