TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of Natus Vincere, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$545,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,562 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1b6…c914backed Natus Vincere0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere54c11,632$6,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,255.391,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed B847c11,096$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,835.839248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked B840c8,646$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148.283,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere49c7,309$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.2347738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B849c6,941$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.522,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed B851c6,647$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.611,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Natus Vincere79c6,293$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.9912328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B844c6,276$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.971,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere72c6,224$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.078050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B840c5,837$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.31,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere62c5,719$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.1910663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked B840c5,292$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.5421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Natus Vincere1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Natus Vincere60c4,667$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.4921146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere55c4,551$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.9634156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere63c4,513$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B842c4,494$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere75c4,082$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.8544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B848c3,927$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B827c3,502$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.4278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Natus Vincere2c3,400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Natus Vincere2c3,202$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.02300%0 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked B873c3,101$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.635660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B849c3,055$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.1281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Natus Vincere1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere68c2,766$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.0633452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere78c2,663$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.8545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed B822c2,509$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.3921528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B838c2,393$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.064,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Natus Vincere1c2,300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed B863c2,291$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.6737646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed B827c2,006$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.821,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Natus Vincere1c2,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Natus Vincere2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked Natus Vincere71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4204645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Natus Vincere66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32025251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed B828c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.8346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed B829c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1420838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere49c1,715$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Natus Vincere1c1,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Natus Vincere1c1,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Natus Vincere71c1,677$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.4721460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Natus Vincere68c1,618$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.495855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Natus Vincere68c1,610$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0959258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Natus Vincere2c1,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Natus Vincere73c1,575$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.5711046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked B874c1,539$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.082748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B852c1,500$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.391,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed B821c1,431$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.782860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked B839c1,354$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.461,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere45c1,269$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.32,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B846c1,255$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.335,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked B840c1,243$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.5417148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce4…94f5backed Natus Vincere62c1,160$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.1150%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x889e…520abacked Natus Vincere55c1,150$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.64254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked B840c1,136$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.9628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere70c1,109$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.5217850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked B842c1,077$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.081,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B835c1,002$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.773,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80035850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Natus Vincere51c984.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere61c981.23$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere73c977.64$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.6853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked B826c953.75$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8119350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked B817c910.18$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.1814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed B845c909.09$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B843c894.19$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.772,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed B833c885.52$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.0521956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed B821c877.05$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0511928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed B851c804.97$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1646345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Natus Vincere75c803.78$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3934542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43219741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d83…a627backed Natus Vincere70c782.49$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed B840c769.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.614742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Natus Vincere80c751.46$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere34c737.05$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5929831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6145…36babacked Natus Vincere69c732.6$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.82152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked B828c728.96$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7319030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere72c718.36$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B842c715.08$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.097,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere60c709.08$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39248437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Natus Vincere55c700$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3881770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere62c691.35$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6726743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed Natus Vincere73c682.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005461.1%33 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x893d…d65bbacked B872c631.28$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.853351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed B852c627.73$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7311240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed B836c600$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.56248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Natus Vincere3c600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed B826c568$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.238938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed B872c555.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8315970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Natus Vincere72c508.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4720944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed Natus Vincere72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere73c499.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed B826c499.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9724134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Natus Vincere50c491.66$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed B821c488.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.636144.3%27 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B823c450$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.981,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.