CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08780d09e8cb19f76e6b16815d92fd88d01449a28ed5f05327ff9887cca9c321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,621 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Over | 56c | 5,320$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.74 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 43c | 4,448$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.47 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…097ebacked Under | 57c | 4,433$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 3,606$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 1c | 3,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 1,817$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.36 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 1,036$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 59c | 1,008$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 37c | 976.69$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.02 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 57c | 879.04$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 36c | 824.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.43 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 756.25$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.73 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 42c | 719.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.78 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 715.49$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Under | 70c | 548.72$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.06 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 43c | 470$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 61c | 415.4$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.39 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 68c | 370.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 58c | 313.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 59c | 254.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…fb00backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 37c | 217.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…81f8backed Over | 45c | 215.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 46c | 213.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 56c | 178.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e44…2af6backed Over | 45c | 167$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 161.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 156.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Over | 38c | 124.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 116.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Over | 45c | 108.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 67c | 102.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 59c | 99.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Over | 46c | 96.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Under | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 43c | 77.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 37c | 73.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 79c | 71.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 64c | 62.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Under | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 38c | 47.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Under | 61c | 46.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 57c | 43.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 37c | 41.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…a1d1backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 60c | 24.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 51c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 56c | 20.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…405abacked Under | 57c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Under | 62c | 17.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…8df3backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…6c5ebacked Under | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.