CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e6c8aa48fc105dd0503221b67c58be11c7d4b59a84f3ce5d52bd8e57186478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Natus Vincere, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,909 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 41,762$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked B8 | 52c | 25,243$13,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,014.13 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed B8 | 51c | 14,470$7,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.82 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,036$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed B8 | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed B8 | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 52c | 9,839$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 7,242$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.96 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 6,567$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,791$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.55 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,323$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed B8 | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed B8 | 52c | 4,192$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.08 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed B8 | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed B8 | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.95 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed B8 | 56c | 2,735$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.48 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,229$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked B8 | 40c | 2,113$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.06 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,084$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,083$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.98 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.5 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,794$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,428$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed B8 | 53c | 1,127$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.79 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,064$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.67 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed B8 | 47c | 1,034$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.23 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 943.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 854.76$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 850$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 50c | 836.39$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.21 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked B8 | 52c | 756.66$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed B8 | 53c | 754$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed B8 | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 52c | 553.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 429$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…823fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 405$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 400.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed B8 | 51c | 370.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 310.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed B8 | 61c | 306.26$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 286.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 281.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 251.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked B8 | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 249.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 228.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 223.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 222.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 207.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 199.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf994…8f7ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 188$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 150.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…6e54backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed B8 | 53c | 146.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 145.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked B8 | 53c | 144.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 143.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 139.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…4c7bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 125.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…23c3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 125.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 121.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 107.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed B8 | 53c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…3b25backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 102.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed B8 | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…7a79backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…7dd0backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 94.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed B8 | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed B8 | 55c | 90.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed B8 | 21c | 89.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked B8 | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 78.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed B8 | 45c | 77.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 76.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed B8 | 54c | 74.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 72.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.