TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,103,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,803 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 776 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked B823c57,442$13,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,024.315245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x893a…29dcbacked Natus Vincere77c51,782$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,782.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed B824c40,126$9,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,788.9525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Natus Vincere76c35,263$26,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,463.163447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B822c24,326$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,371.961,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Natus Vincere76c19,085$14,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.273056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked B825c17,872$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,386.923,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere75c16,823$12,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,205.7139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbc…a37bbacked Natus Vincere79c15,917$12,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.395468.5%37 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed B824c12,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9267041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked B89c10,867$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.025855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed B824c10,620$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.6911637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere79c10,107$7,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.522550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B820c9,544$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.746,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked B823c9,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed B826c8,859$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.4834156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e96…097ebacked Natus Vincere77c8,680$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere77c8,475$6,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.1542341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Natus Vincere71c6,980$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.331485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere72c6,331$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.4645357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere77c6,019$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.466048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked B811c5,959$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.0821939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked B811c5,472$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.8532930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere78c5,250$4,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.4225845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere71c5,145$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.8972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Natus Vincere69c5,073$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.0230340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B82c5,040$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.213,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed B811c4,947$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1717857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Natus Vincere78c4,884$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.4515264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Natus Vincere77c4,863$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.5317849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Natus Vincere79c4,392$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.984259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked B88c4,386$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.69464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed B827c4,126$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.4537946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B817c4,106$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.141,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere77c4,025$3,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.7145859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B824c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed B824c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96028248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed B823c4,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed B822c3,959$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.916553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere76c3,948$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.1420458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed B818c3,818$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0739248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked B826c3,771$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.7521146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B817c3,558$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.3889546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B811c3,476$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.895,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B820c3,416$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.91,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere74c3,365$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.035,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Natus Vincere78c3,055$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7112328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed B823c3,045$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.0360848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B824c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed B818c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5409723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed B823c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed B822c2,984$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Natus Vincere76c2,971$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.5813044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…1d20backed B825c2,832$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.091145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked B814c2,830$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.092,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked B87c2,743$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Natus Vincere76c2,679$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.885166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B814c2,678$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.881,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B824c2,552$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4878939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed B827c2,537$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.685946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed B823c2,475$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.3124935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B816c2,452$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.232,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere77c2,368$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.627152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B814c2,278$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.972,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed B823c2,233$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere77c2,205$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.018951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed B826c2,169$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9280744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c6…bbf1backed B830c2,149$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked B824c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed B823c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46027353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked B830c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60083652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed B822c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Natus Vincere74c2,000$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5258862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed B822c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9813545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere67c1,975$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.3533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked B829c1,950$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4329347.1%138 W · 155 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed B830c1,915$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.812941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed B830c1,912$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56924944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed B810c1,878$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.512,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed B85c1,856$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.076934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked Natus Vincere78c1,844$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.481346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Natus Vincere73c1,800$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.225251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere67c1,788$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.8846349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff0…6e1bbacked B823c1,780$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed B824c1,761$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42036742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6034…7977backed Natus Vincere76c1,722$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed B83c1,675$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3721956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a53…1b12backed B824c1,668$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Natus Vincere71c1,662$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5913950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Natus Vincere72c1,647$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Natus Vincere77c1,645$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.326836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Natus Vincere76c1,625$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.0921650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed B825c1,604$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4092860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed B88c1,596$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1439239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked Natus Vincere77c1,576$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.593852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked B812c1,574$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1598352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere70c1,565$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3715970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed B812c1,533$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9810663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked B815c1,521$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3221536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere75c1,500$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5214954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.