NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1620aa3287794637c57d4fdd9bb2976e7c41bdab3b44ff649cc54c5c380e3c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,704 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 4,021$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.28 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 3,711$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 75c | 2,636$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.1 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Under | 44c | 1,970$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 41c | 1,910$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.87 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 1,701$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.91 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 52c | 1,471$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.71 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 30c | 1,428$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.62 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,266$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,254$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 1,089$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 47c | 1,056$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.65 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.92 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 4c | 1,009$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 53c | 948$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 59c | 906.98$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.86 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 68c | 818.9$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 14c | 800$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 763.6$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.89 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Under | 14c | 700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 42c | 682.55$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Under | 50c | 600.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Over | 7c | 600$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Under | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 24c | 543$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 46c | 531.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 516.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 36c | 500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Under | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 46c | 499.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 476.92$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 64c | 469.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…aaf4backed Under | 42c | 457$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…9695backed Under | 42c | 452$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 419.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 416.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 42c | 404.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 43c | 398$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 50c | 394.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…a454backed Under | 42c | 383$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 364.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…82d5backed Under | 42c | 361$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 43c | 280.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 267.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…6572backed Over | 58c | 266$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…6b2fbacked Over | 58c | 257$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…6872backed Over | 58c | 255$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over | 59c | 254.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…e037backed Over | 58c | 252$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…4e54backed Over | 58c | 228$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 25c | 225$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 52c | 207.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…d7c2backed Over | 58c | 204$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 198.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Under | 19c | 195.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 186.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…6cb9backed Over | 58c | 186$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 33c | 180.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 38c | 175.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 38c | 169$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 146.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 49c | 142.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 54c | 130.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Over | 54c | 125.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 56c | 116.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 32c | 115.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 46c | 109.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Under | 41c | 109.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 21c | 109.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 45c | 100.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 47c | 100.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5this page
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Alex Caruso: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jared McCain: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Magic won
- Thunder vs. MagicThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.