NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5108174dc225e28460420006a0431c1b5aa820c3f933c04f778d3e2bd77484

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,100,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,100,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	53c	576,100$305,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305,784.45	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	47c	212,102$99,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,737.93	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	47c	117,676$55,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,287.09	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	47c	97,862$45,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,866.86	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under	47c	56,700$26,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,114.34	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	47c	33,458$15,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,730.14	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02f…7df8backed Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…8e2ebacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under	47c	18,900$8,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,017	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Under	47c	18,900$8,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,017	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	53c	11,555$6,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,157.68	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	10,447$4,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,514.89	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	7,800$3,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900.57	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over	50c	7,777$3,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,888.5	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over	51c	7,446$3,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,797.63	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under	50c	7,231$3,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,615.68	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	51c	6,088$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Under	49c	5,835$2,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,975.74	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe632…4428backed Over	51c	5,806$2,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,981.43	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over	50c	5,771$2,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,885.5	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6204…7174backed Under	50c	4,788$2,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,394	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a53…bba5backed Under	50c	4,655$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,327.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21cb…4c28backed Under	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb2…580abacked Under	50c	4,235$2,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,117.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	4,124$2,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,068.28	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88c…4cc1backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9735…1b69backed Under	50c	3,880$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x039c…09aabacked Over	50c	3,878$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Over	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc94…012cbacked Over	50c	3,605$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb405…929ebacked Under	50c	3,388$1,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,694	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	51c	3,322$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.35	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	47c	3,191$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.48	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe468…4944backed Under	50c	2,965$1,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,482.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	2,927$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.71	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	2,904$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.01	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9408…ed29backed Over	50c	2,899$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Over	52c	2,885$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…9480backed Over	50c	2,856$1,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd0…0f76backed Over	50c	2,574$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.77	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…1cf9backed Over	50c	2,466$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	2,435$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.29	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235b…2b16backed Under	50c	2,423$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under	47c	2,363$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.13	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	51c	2,352$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.52	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388f…6ccfbacked Over	50c	2,347$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…8b32backed Over	50c	2,344$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6514…9d07backed Over	50c	2,205$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…2ee3backed Under	50c	2,094$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4019…2192backed Over	50c	2,040$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b8…1d81backed Under	50c	2,023$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	2,011$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.39	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceae…f403backed Over	50c	1,965$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38c…57abbacked Under	50c	1,955$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce5…8e91backed Over	50c	1,940$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fc…d9f7backed Over	50c	1,926$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e34…11edbacked Over	50c	1,922$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e03…af71backed Under	50c	1,902$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab43…54febacked Over	50c	1,898$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03a9…c160backed Under	50c	1,894$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9daf…7a5cbacked Over	50c	1,877$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf258…3b4fbacked Under	50c	1,877$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc36…a136backed Under	50c	1,872$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	52c	1,803$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.21	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc618…e193backed Under	50c	1,798$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	1,782$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.46	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…088dbacked Under	50c	1,774$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	1,741$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.96	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x222f…0567backed Over	50c	1,732$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	1,693$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.08	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b3…6597backed Over	50c	1,688$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under	74c	1,682$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.26	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa148…c859backed Over	50c	1,644$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc318…d892backed Under	50c	1,640$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…a853backed Over	50c	1,639$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8218…4acdbacked Under	50c	1,623$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa33…adc4backed Over	50c	1,588$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadef…97e8backed Under	50c	1,577$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f92…1f7abacked Over	50c	1,547$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under	47c	1,516$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.93	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…ea85backed Under	50c	1,514$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c1…990dbacked Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…8c41backed Over	50c	1,456$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f5…a8a7backed Under	50c	1,436$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c98…8295backed Over	50c	1,424$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…76eabacked Under	50c	1,374$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over	53c	1,316$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.46	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd2…f5c2backed Over	50c	1,245$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20f…45aabacked Under	50c	1,236$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c3…19d6backed Over	50c	1,214$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	47c	1,191$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.23	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9704…2bcdbacked Under	50c	1,170$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5this page
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Alex Caruso: Points O/U 6.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Jared McCain: Points O/U 7.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Magic won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Magic won
Thunder vs. MagicThunder won
Thunder vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event