NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7754972f4f01864b760d73482b4590be3bab67f866b93fd55c04caf84d77c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 10,535$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 9,735$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.11 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,861$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 54c | 5,234$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.53 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 52c | 5,109$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.09 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 4,847$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Under | 47c | 4,190$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 3,924$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.64 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 3,733$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.16 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 55c | 1,720$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.2 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 73c | 1,711$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.58 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 1,674$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 45c | 1,565$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.87 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over | 53c | 1,486$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.26 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 34c | 1,206$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 1,012$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.42 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,003$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 978.22$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…7377backed Over | 53c | 919$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 905.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 54c | 855.92$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.2 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under | 45c | 840$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 46c | 830.67$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.6 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…6ff7backed Under | 48c | 803$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 47c | 770$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 53c | 609.06$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 551$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.52 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 533.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 55c | 505.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 496.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 47c | 488.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 458$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 385.41$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 380.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Under | 49c | 327.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 46c | 252.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 247.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 245$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…39b5backed Under | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Over | 6c | 190.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 49c | 183.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Under | 48c | 181$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…3575backed Over | 53c | 181$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 170$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 144.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 55c | 130.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 54c | 129.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 118.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 116.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…de9cbacked Under | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 47c | 105.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 54c | 104.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Under | 47c | 96.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 93.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 46c | 82.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Over | 54c | 82.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Under | 55c | 76.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Over | 46c | 74.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 54c | 71.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…882abacked Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 64.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 50c | 60.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 59.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 58.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 56.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 49.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 51c | 46.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 45.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Over | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 53c | 41.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Over | 47c | 37.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 50c | 36.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5this page
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Alex Caruso: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jared McCain: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Magic won
- Thunder vs. MagicThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.