NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ec79d0f3e795995139cf33f98b7b4db4cf14080085cb61c252afcddef0fc08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Thunder, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.95 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 53c | 48,295$25,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,403.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 47c | 29,731$13,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,757.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 51c | 17,040$8,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,380.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Magic | 49c | 12,113$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 48c | 10,234$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,326.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Magic | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Thunder | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,226$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Thunder | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 49c | 6,327$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 49c | 5,197$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Magic | 48c | 5,032$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.89 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…e8c9backed Thunder | 51c | 4,352$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…129ebacked Thunder | 51c | 4,205$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Thunder | 52c | 4,021$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.92 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa352…68ecbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,801$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…2a96backed Thunder | 51c | 3,404$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 47c | 3,148$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Magic | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 47c | 2,966$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,712$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.45 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 51c | 2,611$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 54c | 2,445$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…d183backed Magic | 49c | 2,314$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,275$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1559…73fdbacked Magic | 49c | 2,202$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…e391backed Magic | 49c | 2,202$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc515…c1b5backed Magic | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Magic | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.34 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,073$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…ab4bbacked Magic | 49c | 2,068$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…5c22backed Thunder | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 47c | 1,910$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…caf2backed Magic | 49c | 1,717$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcafc…6a72backed Magic | 49c | 1,644$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e06ebacked Magic | 48c | 1,521$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a6…8a0ebacked Magic | 49c | 1,505$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…08dcbacked Magic | 48c | 1,421$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9a…d35abacked Magic | 48c | 1,312$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Magic | 47c | 1,276$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.08 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Magic | 43c | 1,205$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.97 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…519fbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…499dbacked Magic | 48c | 1,148$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…e61dbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Thunder | 53c | 1,039$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.67 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Magic | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Thunder | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Thunder | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Thunder | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 47c | 999.98$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Thunder | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Magic | 48c | 956.25$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 909.25$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Magic | 48c | 863.64$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.09 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Thunder | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6663…2a7bbacked Thunder | 52c | 786$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…3996backed Magic | 49c | 780$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 46c | 772.12$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.6 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…6351backed Magic | 49c | 761$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Thunder | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Magic | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Magic | 49c | 712.24$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…446fbacked Thunder | 52c | 708$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…e77fbacked Thunder | 52c | 706$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…0206backed Thunder | 52c | 661$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…9b52backed Magic | 49c | 653$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Thunder | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Magic | 55c | 574.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Magic | 69c | 546.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 75c | 536.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 52c | 526.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Magic | 48c | 510.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Thunder | 53c | 501.89$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Thunder | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…9301backed Thunder | 52c | 475$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…b800backed Thunder | 52c | 443.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…fb46backed Magic | 48c | 415$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Magic | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Thunder | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Thunder | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 41c | 358.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Thunder | 4c | 337.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…f16fbacked Thunder | 52c | 329$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Thunder | 45c | 314.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…4adebacked Magic | 48c | 311$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Thunder | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Thunder | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Magic | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Alex Caruso: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jared McCain: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Magic won
- Thunder vs. MagicThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.