NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32071f92e75773a99350462e50c5940f79995e3b51566b9699e04e994ba9215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,886,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,886,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183d…1270backed Magic | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Magic | 35c | 54,553$19,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,230.53 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Magic | 8c | 40,274$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.44 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Magic | 23c | 37,778$8,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,803.83 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 25c | 36,759$9,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,025.35 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 72c | 35,574$25,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,949.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Magic | 15c | 32,344$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Thunder | 79c | 31,962$25,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.52 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…4392backed Magic | 20c | 28,941$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Magic | 36c | 27,499$9,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,838.14 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 26c | 27,073$6,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,911.57 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Thunder | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Magic | 42c | 24,216$10,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,252.19 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 79c | 22,242$17,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,670.84 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 70c | 20,457$14,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,198.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Magic | 23c | 20,433$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.59 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 20c | 19,879$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Thunder | 75c | 17,848$13,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.99 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 75c | 17,675$13,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.15 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Magic | 12c | 17,226$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.94 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Thunder | 80c | 16,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Magic | 20c | 15,996$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.22 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 75c | 15,957$11,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.71 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Thunder | 80c | 15,050$12,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Magic | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 20c | 14,321$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 21c | 13,332$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.72 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic | 30c | 12,306$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.01 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 79c | 11,924$9,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Magic | 42c | 11,837$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 21c | 10,209$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Magic | 43c | 10,000$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.76 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 20c | 9,550$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.9 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 23c | 9,355$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Thunder | 80c | 9,300$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Magic | 20c | 9,300$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 75c | 9,150$6,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.23 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Magic | 20c | 9,041$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.11 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 9,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 20c | 8,923$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.59 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Thunder | 60c | 7,902$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.68 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 7,762$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Thunder | 74c | 6,498$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Magic | 20c | 6,477$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.4 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Magic | 21c | 6,455$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 80c | 6,442$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.7 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Thunder | 77c | 6,134$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.3 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 79c | 6,063$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 24c | 6,015$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Magic | 20c | 5,742$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.85 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 59c | 5,653$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.58 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Thunder | 63c | 5,511$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.93 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Magic | 21c | 5,496$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.88 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Magic | 21c | 5,457$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 65c | 5,141$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.3 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 22c | 5,103$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.05 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 20c | 5,050$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thunder | 77c | 5,008$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.19 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Thunder | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Magic | 29c | 4,777$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 78c | 4,559$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 78c | 4,522$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.83 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…f2a2backed Magic | 20c | 4,488$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 20c | 4,366$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.12 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Magic | 23c | 4,231$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.74 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Magic | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Magic | 30c | 4,000$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.96 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Thunder | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Thunder | 80c | 3,850$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Thunder | 79c | 3,795$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.87 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 20c | 3,721$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 70c | 3,718$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.26 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 20c | 3,564$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…3656backed Thunder | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…61e1backed Thunder | 78c | 3,384$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Magic | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 3,101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Magic | 9c | 3,081$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 30c | 3,053$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 20c | 3,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Thunder | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…a519backed Thunder | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Thunder | 79c | 2,978$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.88 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Magic | 20c | 2,964$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Magic | 23c | 2,904$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Magic | 29c | 2,857$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 2,802$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 66c | 2,722$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.58 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 21c | 2,718$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Magic | 0c | 2,688$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Magic | 37c | 2,679$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…8fc8backed Thunder | 70c | 2,631$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.31 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Magic | 20c | 2,616$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.16 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Thunder | 80c | 2,600$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Magic | 22c | 2,571$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.19 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 20c | 2,571$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Magicthis page
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Alex Caruso: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jared McCain: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Magic won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.