TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3335…3656

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT8759.8%52 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$366.89
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,427.25
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.68
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$2,314.1
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$595.09
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$332.28
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.89
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$4,860
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,411.95
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$434
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$722.4
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$627
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$406
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$700
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$770
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,230
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$3,470.99
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$1,241
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$117
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$123
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$135
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$144
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$130
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$87.4
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$203
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.99
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.46
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.33
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.22
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.7
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.72
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$103.4
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+168.3%+$252.49
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$172.5
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,494
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$175
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$666.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.