TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd09…a188backed Stars59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,92061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blues42c11,429$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80033243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blues41c9,990$4,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.8214940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blues40c9,406$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.2632946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars59c7,988$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.151,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Stars59c7,327$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.6661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars59c6,629$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.471,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues41c6,500$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues42c5,548$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.411,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars58c5,132$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.2354047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Blues40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9913948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Blues8c4,219$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.342222.7%5 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+79%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Stars60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6716843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blues41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blues41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.977347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Blues49c3,889$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Stars59c3,742$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.375949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues0c3,632$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.837450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues41c3,436$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.61,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars58c2,965$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.331,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Blues3c2,896$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.27354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars59c2,695$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.8962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues9c2,556$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stars64c2,413$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.982,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues41c2,400$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Stars59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Blues41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73840049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Blues13c1,735$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1216447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Stars59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9214654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars59c1,668$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.8618258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Stars58c1,524$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1433345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Stars60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9498…9c98backed Blues41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues42c1,110$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blues41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45145749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…feb6backed Stars59c1,040$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Stars58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues29c972.57$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.421,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Blues3c946.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.917754.8%97 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues41c935.11$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars57c876.58$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.9641340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Blues40c819.06$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9713348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stars58c818.31$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74d…6991backed Stars59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Blues41c799.97$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Stars57c760.39$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5732650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues29c745.11$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.513,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Blues41c730.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019964.3%128 W · 71 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blues27c725.39$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blues41c712$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9225045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…88d0backed Blues42c709.52$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac1…e8afbacked Stars59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2871163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Stars59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28710145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Stars60c691.67$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6710456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Stars60c661.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8841757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Blues43c653.84$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.479440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Stars58c605.47$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.335245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars58c526.61$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1845955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Blues10c526.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8926657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars58c525.52$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7226955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Stars77c518.06$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.481050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Blues41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ac…a418backed Blues42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Stars59c483$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0386852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f57…05f5backed Stars59c472.14$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46da…724ebacked Stars59c438.69$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Stars59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.737149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues32c417.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Stars59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16449249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031b…ea7abacked Stars59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b5…52c4backed Blues41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Stars59c389.83$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.831,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Blues42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022655.8%126 W · 100 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb43…187fbacked Stars59c380$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Stars58c367.76$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars58c362.9$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Stars57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8810251%52 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Stars59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.59052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Stars59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9820655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Stars59c330$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.322352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Blues41c316.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6258947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Blues5c306.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Stars59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Blues41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12353546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blues41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.991,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Blues35c298.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7916237%60 W · 102 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars59c277$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5725555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c44…387cbacked Stars59c275.37$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d08…2d5bbacked Stars60c275$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x797d…fcf6backed Stars59c271.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.191850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Blues42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10548046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Blues42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10538555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Blues42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Blues42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010445.2%47 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Stars78c237.11$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.416738.9%65 W · 102 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Blues14c232.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5910127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f2…2751backed Stars59c230$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.