NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3b051d9150991ac01c8199e6aa910671602d15741fe7fa2ec361cc61d1f064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 19,455$9,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,727.52 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 10,636$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.82 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 8,202$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 6,001$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.6 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Over | 52c | 5,476$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 3,115$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.22 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 3,086$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 2,523$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.95 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,748$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.28 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 1,624$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.1 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,372$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,160$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.24 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 987.42$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.64 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 50c | 766.55$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 638.36$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 548.36$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 447.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 52c | 389$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 255.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 50c | 194.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 50c | 194.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 52c | 130.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 128.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 17c | 125.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 49c | 109$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 48c | 107.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 50c | 85.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…3a8fbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 52c | 59.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 56.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 53.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…fde1backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 52c | 22.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blues won
- Stars vs. BluesStars won
- Stars vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.