TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08b1…e667

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$58.73
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$246.67
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+47.8%+$14.33
Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27.4%+$108.31
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$579.14
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+83.6%+$1,027.42
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25.3%+$181.96
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.2%+$101.29
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$76.72
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkaribacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.9%+$51.03
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.87
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+86.8%+$43.78
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.3%+$38.29
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+27.4%+$87.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+82%+$12.3
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+73.5%+$14.69
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigersbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+27.1%+$21.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.