NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c222ce80e6ed94ee69388713b08b771dda48be36406fb383dc2666b71e49a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 51c | 15,516$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.39 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Over | 50c | 9,756$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Over | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,183$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 4,846$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.95 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.3 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 55c | 2,018$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.86 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 56c | 1,794$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.86 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 1,544$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.68 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 849.67$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 48c | 796$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.92 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 771.46$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 760$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 689.44$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 466$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Under | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 51c | 206.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 27c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…f152backed Over | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Over | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…95fabacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2def…c26fbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 55c | 42.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Over | 49c | 35.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 25.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…62f4backed Over | 52c | 25.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 50c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5866backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Nets won
- Jazz vs. NetsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Nets: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.