TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c32,415$17,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,031.871,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…27a7backed Over48c21,873$10,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,374.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under53c20,000$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,70066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c10,172$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…81aabacked Over48c6,383$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.732040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked Over48c6,358$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.333354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60058347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under52c5,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.131,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under52c4,698$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.9374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f15…599fbacked Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.321764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c4,026$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over46c3,871$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.561,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over47c3,500$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…c38cbacked Under56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c3,370$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.073,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over44c3,300$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c2,329$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.522,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e31…9dcabacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa817…6313backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf84b…3f64backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e6…265bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8567…514cbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under49c1,740$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.4625642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under52c1,572$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.235556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c1,276$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7629810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c1,120$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c855.2$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.151,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c850.2$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.092,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over46c717.93$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under49c710$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.954747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c627$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.042,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under53c610.94$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.813148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under50c549$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.832,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c500$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2662,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c491$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under49c458.82$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa495…cc3bbacked Over51c458.82$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.427247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb9…fdf2backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa6…484abacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20826044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over53c391$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.772,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c390.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.673,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c317.86$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3495…ca3dbacked Over49c308.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15644654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeec0…067bbacked Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2be…56f2backed Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48c8…e1d9backed Over49c224.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12318345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa444…d6e9backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa55c…8083backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b1…0fd8backed Over48c208.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64b…eaa6backed Over49c205.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd08e…d78cbacked Over49c204.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…e69fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f79…be19backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59af…ccc0backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c86…fea7backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2584…9e02backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc381…e24bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4415…043abacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef8…da63backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe52e…169cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f5…37bcbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeab…3fb8backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7980…dcdebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015146.4%70 W · 81 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over52c193.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.481,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c182$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf948…b757backed Over48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e07…7703backed Over48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…76dfbacked Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.834100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd4a…8663backed Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7e…254ebacked Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1d…6bebbacked Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa59b…f801backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…a7d1backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over37c108.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+96.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb98…3da9backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e1…05a7backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfff…d6ffbacked Over48c104.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.