TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36ce…dadd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST6154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Grizzlies (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.58
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$176.59
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$251
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.68
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Perle Labs FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.41
Perle Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,276.15
Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.1%+$62
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.49
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+198.2%+$357.7
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$164.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+97%+$197
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+115.6%+$470.98
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,548.82
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$82.53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$56.7
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$71
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+206.1%+$188.53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.