Token Launches · resolved market
Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24aba6bd6e6278069b57911685b30ef58b7227c3345794848641148e015e109d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,977 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 62c | 3,173$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.28 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,600$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…2761backed No | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 41c | 1,415$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.9 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 30c | 995$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 41c | 986.19$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.18 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes | 78c | 774.05$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 45c | 663.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed No | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…588ebacked Yes | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…d732backed No | 37c | 425$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 45c | 352.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 27c | 306.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 36c | 278.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…0de4backed No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…c3dbbacked Yes | 70c | 246.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 11c | 243.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…4814backed No | 27c | 211.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…5786backed No | 21c | 168.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 7c | 159.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 9c | 146.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…02ddbacked Yes | 63c | 116.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed No | 48c | 115.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 30c | 101.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 90.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 19c | 84.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 72c | 77.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 74c | 65.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 61c | 32.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 62c | 32.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…f8f4backed Yes | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed Yes | 76c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 69c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Unitas Labs FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- Unitas Labs FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.