Token Launches · resolved market
Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee19869486d68d20f962ec49f31a1dd2a16e661f33af753163ee5fcf473a312c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,129$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 6c | 2,013$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed Yes | 21c | 1,555$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.73 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…5f82backed Yes | 17c | 950$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 70c | 753$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 722$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 56c | 570$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 19c | 399.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 380.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 15c | 338.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 6c | 338.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…5786backed No | 74c | 336.01$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…99fbbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 160.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 8c | 139.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 128.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 13c | 113.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…01dcbacked Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 88.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…8072backed Yes | 16c | 86.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…d732backed No | 80c | 83.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 24c | 52.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 70c | 35.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…28e6backed Yes | 35c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…16b4backed No | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- Unitas Labs FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- Unitas Labs FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.