TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72d0…52f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT6845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$38.06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$10.34
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or higher on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+451.9%+$55.48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.42
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.42
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.47
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$38.29
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.8
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$76.15
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.6
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.3
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.91
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+100.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+2,500.6%+$452.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$40.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$16.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.