NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7a6434e403d9d12ab0a4a117006660584c0122f8f9b1e1d2c51496a51199fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Raptors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Kings | 57c | 7,636$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 42c | 6,374$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 57c | 6,112$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.72 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 55c | 5,554$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.13 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 43c | 4,965$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Kings | 59c | 2,810$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.04 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Kings | 57c | 2,799$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 44c | 2,580$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…5195backed Raptors | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Raptors | 45c | 2,027$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.08 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 33c | 1,752$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 25c | 1,638$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 56c | 1,392$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Raptors | 44c | 1,288$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 42c | 1,278$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Raptors | 43c | 1,204$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.67 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Raptors | 43c | 1,135$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.92 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 43c | 1,071$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.88 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 43c | 996.9$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.51 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Kings | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Raptors | 45c | 789.35$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.21 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 60c | 760.31$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 54c | 716.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Kings | 57c | 704.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Raptors | 12c | 613.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Raptors | 45c | 599.54$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings | 56c | 584.41$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kings | 56c | 554.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 56c | 535.73$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.39 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Kings | 73c | 518.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 51c | 398.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Kings | 56c | 353.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 59c | 352.34$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 54c | 336.38$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors | 23c | 304.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Raptors | 45c | 287$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Kings | 57c | 283.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Raptors | 41c | 283.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kings | 56c | 263.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Raptors | 16c | 254.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Raptors | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kings | 59c | 233.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Raptors | 41c | 212.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 24c | 210.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 45c | 203.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 51c | 199.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Raptors | 45c | 199.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Kings | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Kings | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Raptors | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 54c | 189.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 56c | 183.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Kings | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Kings | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Raptors | 49c | 167.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…14ebbacked Raptors | 44c | 164.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Raptors | 45c | 153.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 59c | 146.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Raptors | 45c | 120.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…464fbacked Kings | 57c | 119.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kings | 58c | 114.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Kings | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Kings | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Kings | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…8814backed Kings | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Kings | 56c | 87.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…aadabacked Kings | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Kings | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Raptors | 44c | 81.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 60c | 76.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raptors | 42c | 70.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…3280backed Kings | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Kings | 55c | 69.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Raptors | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Raptors | 44c | 68.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Raptors | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 46c | 62.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 41c | 62.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 32c | 58.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors | 42c | 56.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Raptors | 29c | 55.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Raptors | 46c | 55.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Kings | 56c | 53.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Raptors | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Kings | 55c | 52.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Kings | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Raptors | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Raptors | 41c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed Kings | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Kings | 57c | 46.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…9a46backed Raptors | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Kings | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed Kings | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Kings | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Kings | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 46c | 38.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Raptors | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kings vs. RaptorsKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.