TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Raptors, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Kings51c81,527$41,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,948.232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Raptors47c27,106$12,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,739.6929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Kings54c25,700$13,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,821.9914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Raptors46c25,000$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,50039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings53c23,434$12,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,014.0172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.7849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Kings52c15,638$8,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,484.7432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Raptors48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Raptors49c9,743$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.2930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Raptors49c9,097$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.2937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe7…b777backed Raptors49c8,289$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Raptors50c8,117$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.2714946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Raptors48c8,016$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.7116346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors39c7,405$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Kings56c6,295$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.8615849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings50c6,165$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…da6dbacked Raptors48c6,055$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings53c5,674$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.591,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e18…bddfbacked Raptors49c5,636$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings52c5,555$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.3974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Raptors50c5,535$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.5814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kings53c5,500$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ad…5195backed Raptors49c5,382$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Kings53c5,370$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.512945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Raptors47c5,287$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6841…8078backed Raptors49c5,144$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors48c5,042$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.1659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Raptors46c4,700$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors47c4,473$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Raptors49c3,988$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.312842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kings53c3,887$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.9847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Raptors50c3,453$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.619346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings54c3,268$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors27c3,255$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.421,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Kings53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings50c2,694$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Raptors48c2,329$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.925635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Raptors47c2,098$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.6218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Kings53c2,095$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.6422948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kings54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Raptors49c1,965$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.612070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9d0…0a05backed Raptors48c1,942$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Raptors49c1,919$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.6425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Raptors48c1,835$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.6224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Kings53c1,705$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.283246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors49c1,694$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors44c1,634$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Raptors47c1,501$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.3331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Raptors47c1,420$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.219745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Raptors50c1,381$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.644032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors48c1,365$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Raptors50c1,224$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.413745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kings55c1,200$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Raptors46c1,183$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Raptors43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Raptors9c1,101$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Raptors48c1,066$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.536737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors47c1,016$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Kings54c1,013$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.8124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Kings53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Kings54c972.4$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.36352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings53c932.66$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed Raptors49c890.27$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors48c879.11$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.931,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors48c875.33$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.491,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Raptors47c802.77$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.326755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Raptors48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors49c793.99$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Raptors49c694.48$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Raptors48c682.41$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors46c679.24$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.451,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors48c639.8$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Raptors49c620.28$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.455048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Kings54c534.82$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Kings53c530.75$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0943052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Kings54c525.77$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Kings53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2358951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Kings52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Raptors49c496.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Raptors49c464.15$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Kings53c458.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.454535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Raptors46c457.04$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8728056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Raptors49c444.7$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors49c440.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…4d90backed Kings54c435.64$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors48c420.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Raptors47c419.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Raptors49c416.05$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Raptors49c396.86$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Raptors49c396.86$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8613541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb50d…81debacked Kings52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.472259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Kings52c382.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.781850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Kings52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Kings51c364.95$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8210943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kings52c311.58$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.921,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Raptors48c310.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8122453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kings53c305.25$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.472,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kings52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Kings53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.022040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.