NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e70a43d2ab1160896d313407dedf65da413ed98c03e23f61248842caf82c0c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 45c | 16,000$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 13,571$7,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,378.26 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 12,494$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 10,463$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 54c | 4,996$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.43 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 3,361$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.53 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 2,835$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 2,398$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.7 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 2,395$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.91 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,331$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 1,870$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.08 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 1,683$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.75 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,439$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 63c | 1,420$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.96 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 1,013$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.39 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…6b66backed Over | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 889.46$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.33 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 36c | 869.43$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.31 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 804.28$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.09 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 744.67$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 50c | 614.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 572.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 70c | 561.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 40c | 503.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 54c | 451.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 326.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 51c | 321.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 321.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 35c | 276.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Under | 49c | 275.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 274.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 49c | 211.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 197.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 49c | 164.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 155.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 46c | 154.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 45c | 142.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 51c | 126.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 109.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 45c | 106.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…330cbacked Over | 55c | 103.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 47c | 102.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 51c | 95.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Over | 53c | 91.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 87.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 52c | 81.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 51c | 78.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 76.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 31c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 75.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 72.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 51c | 67.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 46c | 61.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 40c | 57.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Under | 50c | 57.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 54c | 55.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 55c | 54.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 55c | 54.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 52c | 46.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Under | 50c | 42.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…483fbacked Over | 53c | 41.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 54c | 40.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 39.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Under | 44c | 37.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Under | 49c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 42c | 28.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 46c | 27.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Under | 49c | 27.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 26.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…8374backed Under | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kings vs. RaptorsKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.