TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under45c16,000$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,259.9960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over53c13,571$7,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,378.2619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c12,494$6,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100.571,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c10,463$5,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over54c4,996$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.4352052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c3,361$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.5331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c2,835$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c2,398$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.71,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c2,395$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.911,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,331$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c1,870$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.0887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c1,683$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,439$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over63c1,420$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.961,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c1,013$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.3918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…6b66backed Over50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c889.46$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.331,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under36c869.43$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3118235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c804.28$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.092,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c744.67$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over50c614.98$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.497143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c572.94$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over70c561.14$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under40c503.71$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.541,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over54c451.94$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c326.26$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.62,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over51c321.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.377751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c321.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under35c276.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.661,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under49c275.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.95540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over55c274.77$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4657550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under49c211.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7314445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c206.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c197.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9719054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under49c164.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c155.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under46c154.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under45c142.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under51c126.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2441947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under55c116.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c109.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Over45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.098551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under45c106.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3676…330cbacked Over55c103.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c102.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c100.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.613,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Under48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Over51c95.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.918450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Over53c91.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0811450.9%58 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c87.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c81.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under51c78.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.120249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c76.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under31c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5620443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c75.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.671,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c72.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.322,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.91,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under51c67.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6536153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under46c61.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.712650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under48c58.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.926147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under40c57.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Under50c57.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.622839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over54c55.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over55c54.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6220247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over55c54.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under52c46.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…9722backed Under50c42.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.273237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9368…483fbacked Over53c41.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under50c40.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over54c40.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over50c39.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Under44c37.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5317852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Under49c30.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7316647%78 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under42c28.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under46c27.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.759938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Under49c27.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39244.6%41 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under50c26.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under50c26.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0462…8374backed Under46c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.455240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over50c23.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6437853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.