NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x494edcd4489e7eaa8b13960340badbbca33d2bd6abd8b492e0847e737886cace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 30,587$15,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,802.06 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 19,983$9,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,492.38 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 11,495$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 7,594$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…8078backed Over | 52c | 5,771$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 48c | 4,891$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.74 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 4,488$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 4,216$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 52c | 4,051$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.52 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…cac8backed Under | 49c | 3,776$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 68c | 2,983$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.72 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 48c | 2,835$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.59 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 2,636$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 47c | 2,455$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.15 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…5195backed Over | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,213$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 64c | 1,985$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.57 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,932$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,837$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,674$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.33 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 53c | 1,613$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 64c | 1,594$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.8 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 66c | 1,477$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.57 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,429$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 1,390$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.97 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 1,224$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.25 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 50c | 974.7$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 963.33$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 904.96$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.88 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 52c | 831.01$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.68 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 805.1$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 803.82$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 56c | 780.74$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 55c | 778.4$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 717.25$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 63c | 687.04$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 54c | 659.41$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 629.19$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.33 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 592.23$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 35c | 432.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Under | 47c | 411.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 46c | 397.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 392.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 48c | 361.36$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 49c | 329.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 48c | 308.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 45c | 295.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 64c | 293.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 63c | 292.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 49c | 284.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 278.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 275.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 50c | 266.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 37c | 261.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 52c | 256.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 48c | 249.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Over | 56c | 219.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 49c | 213.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 179.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 64c | 177.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 175.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 49c | 173.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 173.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 49c | 172.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 48c | 145.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 49c | 143.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 47c | 141.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…5860backed Under | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 57c | 141.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 138.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 66c | 137.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 136.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 54c | 133.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 128.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Under | 32c | 124.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 49c | 115.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kings vs. RaptorsKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.