NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b95cb57994926723783c229944d90fb842df770a36732e9c50febaba11ccf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 46c | 34,814$16,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,014.63 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.93 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 12,553$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.96 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 49c | 12,110$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,135.45 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 57c | 9,865$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.13 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 9,527$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875.83 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 8,954$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 59c | 8,707$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 5,578$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.18 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 4,519$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 4,452$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.73 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 4,343$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 47c | 3,544$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.56 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 2,905$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.71 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Under | 49c | 2,904$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.98 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 2,028$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.59 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 1,594$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.03 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 55c | 1,298$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.91 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 1,058$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.92 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 59c | 1,009$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.55 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 922.6$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.52 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 53c | 914.04$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.08 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 53c | 704.79$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 53c | 681.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.36 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 614.85$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 612.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 52c | 563.52$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.89 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 61c | 536.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 511.79$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 54c | 508.8$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 499.94$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 53c | 494.65$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.48 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 484$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 62c | 405.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 48c | 385.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 340.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 311.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 276.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 248$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 42c | 241.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 223.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 47c | 205.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 45c | 204.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 43c | 194.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 194.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 59c | 189.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 42c | 179.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 54c | 162.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Under | 54c | 153.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 58c | 152.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 150.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 48c | 140.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 136.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 46c | 134.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 131.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 53c | 131.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 33c | 121.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…c7a8backed Under | 55c | 121.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 47c | 117.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 49c | 101.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 48c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 54c | 93.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 88.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 88.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 87.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 85.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 50c | 85.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 43c | 73.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 53c | 70.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Under | 45c | 69.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 44c | 66.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 49c | 61.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 49c | 61.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 61.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 40c | 58.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 54c | 55.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 52.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 53c | 51.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 53c | 48.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 41.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 45c | 40.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 54c | 39.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kings vs. RaptorsKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.