NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3282433ec6beb42ca5726f8d8d38b1decac6843083ea33b7414ea3054430f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 54c | 6,354$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.21 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 4,628$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 2,232$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 44c | 1,110$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.92 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…6b66backed Over | 64c | 1,070$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 1,024$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.44 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 53c | 909.17$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Over | 54c | 896.77$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 38c | 693.28$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 624.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 618.03$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 572.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 526.07$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 312.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 61c | 312.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 284.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 56c | 282.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 64c | 274.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 262.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 228.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 210.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 176.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 56c | 174.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Over | 54c | 155.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 69c | 150.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 57c | 149.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 57c | 144.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 55c | 137.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 55c | 111.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 51c | 100.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 55c | 87.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 65c | 85.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 62c | 79.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 64c | 61.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 43c | 56.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 33c | 54.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 67c | 50.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 46.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 44c | 46.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x518e…0913backed Under | 46c | 41.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 52c | 38.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 46c | 36.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 35c | 36.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 45c | 36.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 36.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 35.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 56c | 30.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 57c | 29.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 52c | 28.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…a4e7backed Over | 53c | 27.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 27.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 20.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 55c | 20.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Over | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kings vs. RaptorsKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.