TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1ae…f001backed No60c1,320$792 inLost-$79214245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5788…fb06backed Yes39c1,162$451 inWon+$711.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No60c835$501 inLost-$5011,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Yes38c633.21$242 inWon+$390.723030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No64c318.12$202 inLost-$202.4339265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c284$179 inLost-$179.154,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c274.89$112 inWon+$162.511,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32d9…3766backed Yes40c199.55$80 inWon+$119.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242a…7402backed Yes40c192.8$77 inWon+$115.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2844…91dfbacked Yes40c168.7$67 inWon+$101.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes14c76$11 inWon+$65.173,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2a…9ff2backed Yes40c67.48$27 inWon+$40.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No63c56$35 inLost-$35.3527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes45c52.28$24 inWon+$28.7536954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5416…07fbbacked Yes40c47.18$19 inWon+$28.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No64c30$19 inLost-$19.260267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No51c30$15 inLost-$15.365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked No72c27.58$20 inLost-$19.869869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No65c25.67$17 inLost-$16.7115362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c25$13 inLost-$12.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No64c20$13 inLost-$12.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.