TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Raptors, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors57c29,226$16,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,658.8220758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Raptors47c23,658$11,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,163.842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings43c22,725$9,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,953.5172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings50c14,614$7,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,304.523,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Kings45c12,507$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.892250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kings46c9,540$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.921,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raptors55c9,497$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.541,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Kings47c8,651$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.0414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Raptors55c7,979$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings58c6,132$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.5583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors53c5,527$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kings46c4,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Raptors53c3,565$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.3413946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings55c3,114$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings44c2,651$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kings61c1,863$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.531,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Raptors54c1,167$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.134658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors55c1,110$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.841,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings71c1,016$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors55c1,003$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.4290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors55c987.57$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.791,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Raptors50c968.05$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8159140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Raptors53c957$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2119745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings44c956$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Raptors55c887.73$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Kings74c540$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.418235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fb…9df5backed Kings47c505.08$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.691540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kings46c499.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings45c499.97$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Raptors53c477.15$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.896547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Raptors27c441.22$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.188332.5%27 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Kings46c420.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings50c408.62$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Raptors28c392$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Raptors55c371.51$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3314852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Raptors54c282.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.677460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings44c279.27$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.112,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Raptors35c275.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Kings45c270.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.111,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Kings47c267.31$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5528056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Raptors32c222.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2336248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b7…63b5backed Raptors27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kings72c173.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0257550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings40c172.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Raptors58c168.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Kings78c162.48$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.195959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Raptors9c145.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Kings56c138.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0936949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Raptors37c129.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1211045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Kings44c122.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3216053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Raptors37c112.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.971,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Raptors49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.475147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Raptors55c91.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.326654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Raptors54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.622060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Raptors54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.91752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Kings56c67.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.891,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kings44c59.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Kings45c54.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Kings45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5514555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed Raptors54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2511345.1%51 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Kings45c40.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.319357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings52c39.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Kings62c36.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Kings45c36.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.861,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Raptors55c35.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2622746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Kings60c32.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3139055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Kings46c31.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2411751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Kings46c31.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2416647%78 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Kings47c29.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3935052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Kings45c29.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9611243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Kings47c27.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.379244.6%41 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors55c26.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Kings45c26.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.428653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Kings65c24.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Raptors57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Kings76c23.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd76…3269backed Kings56c19.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Kings58c18.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.753743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Kings71c18.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.234658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Kings65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.921,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.