TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,968,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,983,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,968,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 947 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x387b…fd56backed Raptors0c414,895$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.316145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Raptors78c134,973$105,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,533.868750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Kings14c125,790$17,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,179.3229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Raptors68c105,000$71,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,749.760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Raptors77c93,754$72,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,337.765064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Raptors72c74,969$54,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,143.1420744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Kings14c64,950$9,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,856.832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Kings14c56,316$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,431.4839349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kings29c51,110$14,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,288.0628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings32c50,865$16,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,379.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors70c45,060$31,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,735.0966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings25c39,876$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,075.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings14c39,388$5,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,741.41,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Kings13c34,680$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,171.711050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings25c33,652$8,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,230.361,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Kings13c32,439$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,164.8532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings27c30,224$8,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,159.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Kings45c25,061$11,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,818.3213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Kings69c22,571$15,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,102.519388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings41c21,301$8,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,635.931,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings13c20,289$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,651.3674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings12c19,957$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,462.3546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors45c19,859$9,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,028.1883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings14c17,510$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,090.8949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Raptors47c16,625$7,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,873.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings39c16,477$6,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,004.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings44c15,343$6,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.4859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef8…4a8ebacked Raptors0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce1…86afbacked Raptors59c13,548$8,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,003.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings24c11,752$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,922.161,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors48c11,741$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings14c11,682$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,046.8627546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Kings15c11,439$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,723.3619957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed Raptors52c11,272$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,865.788055%44 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Kings45c10,989$4,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,036.665633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings34c10,837$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,175.433,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Kings14c10,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Kings14c10,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Raptors52c10,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.9338434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors65c9,981$6,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,526.861,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Kings14c9,962$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,567.316651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Kings32c9,742$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.4839744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings14c9,714$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,349.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors46c9,673$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,401.2234456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors42c9,516$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.555,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Raptors67c9,515$6,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,344.594252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Kings55c8,610$4,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.9710653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings54c8,557$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.223,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Raptors71c8,145$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.216346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors61c8,141$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.223,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xface…04bdbacked Raptors80c8,056$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,439.855450%27 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Kings54c8,006$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.044257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Raptors4c7,381$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.465520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raptors66c7,204$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Raptors69c7,152$4,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,905.7810352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Kings12c6,953$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,083.7635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Raptors43c6,270$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.8438143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings13c6,200$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,393.831,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors51c5,880$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.4978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Raptors48c5,384$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Kings11c5,280$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7019330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Raptors67c5,200$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.9112756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings52c5,198$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.081,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Kings59c5,168$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.778155.6%45 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Kings15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings14c5,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.91,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Kings13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.884548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings40c4,860$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Kings69c4,518$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.868225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Raptors68c4,500$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0602433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed Raptors48c4,433$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Kings15c4,429$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+126.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors45c4,352$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.1882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Kings36c4,004$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.356126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Kings13c3,743$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.7214446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors63c3,439$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.191,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Raptors8c3,388$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.919550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Raptors66c3,378$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.162441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…62c7backed Kings19c3,186$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Kings63c3,121$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.5117051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…6b66backed Kings41c3,013$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Kings53c3,013$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.9110450%52 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Raptors66c2,963$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.8113540.7%55 W · 80 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed Kings25c2,941$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Kings25c2,899$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.9320856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Kings33c2,895$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.3813534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Kings15c2,847$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.956440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f2…d4a9backed Raptors71c2,771$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.51366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Kings16c2,671$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.4311235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors57c2,614$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.781,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Kings49c2,595$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.947761%47 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors50c2,575$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.6364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Raptors54c2,555$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.699938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Kings14c2,553$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.956628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…0cd0backed Raptors39c2,502$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.247051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Kings22c2,484$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.5522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Kings39c2,441$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.7918632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Raptors69c2,424$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.4111558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Raptors46c2,326$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.4154838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9b…5a9bbacked Kings14c2,256$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+191.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.