TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa991…62c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.66
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.03
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$866.33
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$184.86
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$404.58
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.77
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.37
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.12
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+163.1%+$1,074.54
Pegula vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.51
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$211.2
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.84
Carabelli vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.43
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.9
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.45
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.31
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$461.03
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$274.31
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.43
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.93
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$340.76
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$327.54
Barletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$408.84
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.15
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$749.34
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.1
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.78
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$433.99
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.22
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.44
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$156.82
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$296.73
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$64.04
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$168.48
NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$385.89
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$594.02
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$152.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$165.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.