MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38bc27e388af11e14d61e642d4ad6c5305f6c7e994d2b7c97862c2d3e36d84ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 34,978$24,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,143.66 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 28,098$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.47 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 23,140$11,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,711.57 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 79c | 21,319$16,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,872.89 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 14,773$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.1 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 14,189$6,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 10,595$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 9,491$7,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,321.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 9,106$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.83 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 6,864$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.56 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 6,265$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.62 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 5,295$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 4,322$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 3,873$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.62 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 3,825$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.52 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 3,806$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,665$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.59 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 3,356$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.88 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 2,973$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 2,929$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.11 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 2,846$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 2,534$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 2,394$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.61 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Washington Nationals | 15c | 2,372$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 2,316$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.43 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 2,172$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Washington Nationals | 80c | 2,134$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 2,080$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.21 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 2,017$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.29 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 2,005$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.11 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,943$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,913$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.26 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 1,804$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 1,710$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.09 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,701$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.31 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 1,614$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.4 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,608$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,516$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,295$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 1,193$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.54 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,161$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.21 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b4…cb31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,160$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,148$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.58 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,143$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 1,045$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.48 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 944.76$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.1 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 926.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.66 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 874.74$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 866.26$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…8043backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 846.01$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 804.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 793.15$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 779.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 737.4$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 713.35$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 708.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.39 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 680.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 679$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 660.91$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 652.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 587.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 531.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 530$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 514.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 510.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 509.7$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 500.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 498.08$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.04 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 495.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 461.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 436.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 388$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…5266backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 382.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 376.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 369.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 361.6$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 339$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 331.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 329$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 325.43$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 319.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 313.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 310.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 310.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 310.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 309.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 293.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 290.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 289.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 286.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…cddbbacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 282.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 275.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.