NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6a738139be7ce473d92acf24885351a38c74c8c6693acf200e73b2e552a417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Flames, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Golden Knights | 68c | 312,500$212,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.98 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Flames | 32c | 216,922$69,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,709.81 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 32c | 170,000$54,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,400 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 68c | 37,000$25,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,840 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 31c | 32,016$9,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,924.9 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Golden Knights | 68c | 31,300$21,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,015.98 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Golden Knights | 67c | 29,799$19,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,833.82 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 24,675$15,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,861.3 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 32c | 22,411$7,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.94 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 32c | 12,722$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…e954backed Flames | 34c | 11,749$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Flames | 44c | 11,436$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 11,124$7,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.87 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flames | 2c | 10,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 66c | 10,000$6,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.91 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Flames | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Golden Knights | 69c | 9,696$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Flames | 42c | 9,466$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 68c | 9,000$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 68c | 8,824$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.53 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Flames | 32c | 8,064$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.88 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Flames | 42c | 7,443$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…c0dbbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 7,440$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flames | 34c | 6,894$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.02 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…7067backed Golden Knights | 62c | 6,092$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Golden Knights | 66c | 6,090$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Golden Knights | 69c | 5,778$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Golden Knights | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Flames | 34c | 4,788$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 47c | 4,506$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Golden Knights | 69c | 4,493$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.75 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 4,274$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.44 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flames | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,700$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.44 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Golden Knights | 68c | 3,480$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.46 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 3,344$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.71 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden Knights | 67c | 3,251$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 2,643$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 8c | 2,632$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 59c | 2,618$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.24 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Flames | 39c | 2,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Flames | 40c | 2,520$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flames | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,391$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.55 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 68c | 2,375$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.13 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Flames | 32c | 2,363$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.16 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…61a9backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,223$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Flames | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Golden Knights | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Golden Knights | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Flames | 34c | 1,927$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Flames | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Golden Knights | 68c | 1,746$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…fddebacked Flames | 40c | 1,730$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 68c | 1,718$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Flames | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 42c | 1,460$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,426$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.14 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,405$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.6 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Flames | 42c | 1,376$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Flames | 40c | 1,359$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.12 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,348$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.05 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 1,292$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,240$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.49 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 59c | 1,188$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 33c | 1,148$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flames | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Golden Knights | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Golden Knights | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 962$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Flames | 42c | 956.83$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden Knights | 52c | 927.43$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 911.99$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 68c | 906.89$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Golden Knights | 48c | 897.25$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.57 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Flames | 47c | 780$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights | 51c | 749$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.01 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dc…8f45backed Flames | 12c | 746.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Flames | 10c | 740.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Golden Knights | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Flames | 41c | 670$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Flames | 12c | 666.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 39c | 651.13$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flames | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flames | 32c | 648.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Golden Knights | 52c | 648.26$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Golden Knights | 69c | 630$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Golden Knights | 64c | 629.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Golden Knights | 69c | 624.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Golden Knights | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Flames | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Golden Knights | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.