TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bfc…6762

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425.75
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,419.87
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.55
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$1,264.48
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,125.04
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,169.18
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.8
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.42
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940.85
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,947.35
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.23
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.91
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,057Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,140.68
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.24
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$883.11
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,629.21
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.12
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$245.44
Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$226.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,012Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$2,954.65
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,383.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.33
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$1,542.5
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,089.77
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$10,519.24
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$1,107.68
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No Run · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$1,823.72
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.95
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$575.28
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$576.72
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$1,064.57
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$936.12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+141%+$2,083.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$1,561.5
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,360.54
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,328.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$10,594.42
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,147.25
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,836Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$2,225.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,201.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.