NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd73929e55e675343ed79b5607e78d08ac10a1351b24ed798fc35e388f84f8cf4

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,292,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,604,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,292,354 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Over	53c	289,644$152,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,022.38	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under	45c	233,538$105,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105,935.16	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over	55c	155,909$85,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,158.89	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Over	54c	125,807$67,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,871.15	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	47c	113,471$53,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,259.79	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	70,786$35,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,501.22	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over	53c	59,749$31,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,081.88	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	46c	46,072$21,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,141.53	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under	48c	45,971$22,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,066.03	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	45c	32,279$14,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,546.51	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	46c	18,857$8,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,653.35	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Over	50c	17,313$8,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,656.71	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over	52c	13,441$6,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,447.17	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under	48c	13,127$6,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,312.23	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	47c	11,890$5,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,531.6	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	60c	11,653$6,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,697.67	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under	52c	11,623$6,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,039.84	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	45c	11,607$5,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,220.85	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	46c	11,255$5,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,177.3	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ae…e9e6backed Under	49c	11,010$5,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,394.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under	36c	9,760$3,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,513.68	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	50c	9,363$4,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,681.61	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	48c	8,779$4,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,170.56	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under	50c	7,728$3,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,861.33	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	47c	7,410$3,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,478.14	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	7,121$3,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,324.07	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under	46c	7,097$3,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,264.78	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over	56c	7,090$3,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.55	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	43c	5,982$2,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,572.53	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	46c	5,562$2,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,558.33	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under	45c	5,428$2,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,442.5	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Over	56c	5,377$3,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,360.42	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	+57%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	56c	4,927$2,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,171.03	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Under	47c	4,735$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.63	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	4,519$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,113.04	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	56c	4,000$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over	57c	4,000$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,729.96	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	3,821$1,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.3	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under	47c	3,801$1,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,786.33	131	38.2%50 W · 81 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Under	45c	3,627$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.3	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	44c	3,283$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.31	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	57c	3,192$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,378.08	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under	45c	3,155$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,419.87	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	55c	3,107$1,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.27	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	3,090$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.01	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under	50c	2,953$1,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,476.47	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	47c	2,845$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.95	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under	36c	2,656$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.36	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over	55c	2,642$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.99	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	47c	2,550$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.92	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Under	46c	2,439$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.44	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	47c	2,421$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.64	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	46c	2,337$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.2	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under	54c	2,137$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.13	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over	46c	1,998$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.81	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under	47c	1,983$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.74	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Over	62c	1,972$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.49	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	49c	1,870$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.13	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	52c	1,833$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.8	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under	46c	1,800$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.17	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	1,783$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.32	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Over	66c	1,761$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.23	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	67cpaid	-39%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	47c	1,740$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.22	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	74c	1,717$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.26	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under	42c	1,643$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.87	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over	55c	1,619$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.58	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under	50c	1,617$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.42	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	43c	1,468$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.73	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	52c	1,439$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.87	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Under	46c	1,438$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.38	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under	47c	1,437$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.06	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Over	70c	1,434$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.07	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	34c	1,393$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.19	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	56c	1,313$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.86	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Under	50c	1,285$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.67	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Under	48c	1,200$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	54c	1,134$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.27	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over	60c	1,100$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Over	56c	1,069$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.43	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	1,069$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.36	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under	52c	1,057$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.7	165	55.8%92 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Over	56c	1,051$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.65	105	59%62 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under	47c	1,030$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.1	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	48c	1,001$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.48	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over	53c	992.23$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.93	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	48c	980.42$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.87	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under	46c	935$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.1	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	64c	885.92$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.6	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	40c	826.99$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.79	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over	54c	777.11$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.16	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	45c	750$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	52c	696.36$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.96	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	33c	678.93$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.88	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under	28c	648.36$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.45	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	18c	615.36$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.76	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Under	48c	606.38$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.63	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Warriors won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Warriors won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Warriors won
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event