TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,128 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors50c927.14$463 inLost-$463.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Rockets44c581.38$256 inWon+$325.0113346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Rockets56c549.05$306 inWon+$243.3815034.7%52 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Warriors56c213.08$119 inLost-$119.2213429.9%40 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockets44c208.54$92 inWon+$116.7821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors39c181.97$71 inLost-$70.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Rockets61c177.71$108 inWon+$69.313743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Warriors44c111.77$49 inLost-$48.7416725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Rockets60c97.86$59 inWon+$39.314551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Warriors74c68.64$51 inLost-$50.833159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Rockets51c65.03$33 inWon+$31.943132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Warriors41c58.52$24 inLost-$23.9916242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Rockets57c45.06$26 inWon+$19.3817553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Warriors62c36.14$22 inLost-$22.4155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Rockets59c33.02$20 inWon+$13.515056%28 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Rockets54c32.51$17 inWon+$15.0431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Warriors42c31.47$13 inLost-$13.2514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors62c30.3$19 inLost-$18.7952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Warriors58c29.01$17 inLost-$16.836553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Warriors58c26.97$16 inLost-$15.6437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc138…c2e2backed Rockets77c19.21$15 inWon+$4.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Rockets60c18.01$11 inWon+$7.194254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.