TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74e4…57ecbacked Under0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c5,230$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.541,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,152$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c1,884$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over57c1,758$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.981,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,583$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.842,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,339$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,147$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under47c1,001$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4741649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under47c975.82$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.646237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c962.92$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c915.61$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over58c681.75$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.651,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4b…b4ebbacked Over53c632.37$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c476.75$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over53c470.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under45c449.49$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c406.9$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.13,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c404.7$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.32,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c403.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.991,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c392$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c327.48$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.681,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186e…3ba3backed Over70c280.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.532454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Over58c274.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2924139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c225.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.583,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under42c217.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over46c212$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over53c204.08$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9249852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c189.66$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under47c179.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over36c160.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7631345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c151.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.282,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over67c144.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under27c134.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7662047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over55c131.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c125.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c110.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over53c110.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under43c109.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.411915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over53c92.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6238453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under48c87.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c76.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8921149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over48c69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2229556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under29c68.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under29c68.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under45c55.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0524841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x793a…5af8backed Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under45c53.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c51.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c49.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c0d…a6d4backed Over53c49.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c46.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.512,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c44.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3126450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c44.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c43.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.285,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over58c41.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4113052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over57c40.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.315252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under29c40.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd747…1293backed Over53c39.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Under47c39.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5811059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over56c38.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over56c37.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6114852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c37.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over57c36.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c36.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c34.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c33.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c31.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Under47c31.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.865742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac1…1828backed Over54c31.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c31.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c31.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over56c31.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7842352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under39c30.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over55c29.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under49c29.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2522044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over56c28.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over64c28.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1615663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over54c27.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over53c26.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.339454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over72c23.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over79c21.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over52c19.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked Over76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.563174.2%23 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick74cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over76c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.696639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.