NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa5b5c1fc24377414974d09d38c21d7d28e36d22bc7db4a8f2aab3115d6414b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,610,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,607,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Warriors	50c	555,447$277,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277,923.56	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Rockets	50c	340,000$170,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170,000	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Rockets	0c	308,117$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.18	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rockets	49c	197,822$96,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96,785.72	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors	49c	179,405$87,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91,428.57	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors	49c	125,137$61,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,819.8	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets	50c	99,362$49,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,876.44	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets	51c	62,233$31,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,742.96	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets	50c	49,999$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,999.5	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Warriors	51c	49,440$25,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,097.32	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets	50c	30,438$15,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,219	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors	48c	28,337$13,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,594.8	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	53c	26,498$13,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,994.32	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Warriors	55c	21,230$11,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,452.57	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Warriors	45c	17,957$8,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,821.36	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets	59c	17,187$10,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,069.55	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	55c	16,352$8,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,993.38	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Rockets	51c	14,369$7,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,288.7	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	52c	12,000$6,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,239.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors	76c	11,515$8,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,795.56	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Rockets	50c	11,461$5,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,730.5	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors	49c	10,761$5,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,485.69	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Rockets	51c	10,379$5,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,293.29	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Rockets	51c	10,215$5,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,210.88	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950.06	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Rockets	51c	9,516$4,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,853	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Rockets	51c	9,462$4,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,853.91	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors	50c	9,335$4,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,667.69	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Rockets	52c	9,325$4,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,856.24	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Rockets	51c	8,260$4,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,212.4	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets	50c	7,421$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,739.96	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Rockets	51c	7,286$3,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,715.85	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets	46c	7,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,249.99	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Warriors	48c	6,511$3,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400.91	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	51c	5,700$2,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,895.39	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Rockets	52c	4,949$2,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,573.68	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets	52c	4,856$2,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,525.12	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Rockets	50c	4,744$2,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,372.13	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Rockets	63c	4,238$2,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,687.66	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Rockets	50c	4,184$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,092	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Warriors	54c	4,040$2,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,865.82	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Rockets	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Rockets	49c	3,957$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938.79	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets	51c	3,610$1,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,823.25	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Rockets	50c	3,599$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.5	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Warriors	48c	3,250$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Rockets	51c	3,202$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.82	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…b7eebacked Rockets	2c	3,187$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Rockets	51c	3,151$1,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.01	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Rockets	51c	3,027$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.63	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5225…5732backed Rockets	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Rockets	52c	2,742$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.75	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	66c	2,374$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.71	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Rockets	50c	2,363$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.52	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Rockets	51c	2,069$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.35	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Warriors	48c	2,039$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.03	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets	50c	2,018$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.57	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Rockets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…4879backed Warriors	71c	1,988$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors	20c	1,981$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.63	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors	50c	1,941$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.15	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Rockets	50c	1,928$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.79	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Rockets	51c	1,881$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.48	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Rockets	51c	1,873$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.28	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Rockets	50c	1,760$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.18	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Rockets	51c	1,749$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.99	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors	51c	1,710$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.89	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rockets	56c	1,524$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.51	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Rockets	51c	1,427$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.95	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets	55c	1,283$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.91	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets	63c	1,279$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.23	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets	5c	1,273$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.39	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Rockets	56c	1,265$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.92	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets	56c	1,258$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.14	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Rockets	55c	1,252$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.79	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Rockets	56c	1,246$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.21	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Rockets	50c	1,233$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.68	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors	48c	1,196$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.1	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Rockets	43c	1,177$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.8	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Rockets	50c	1,136$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Rockets	36c	1,131$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.98	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Rockets	50c	1,116$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.64	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x955a…60e1backed Rockets	44c	1,063$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.56	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Rockets	55c	1,054$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.24	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors	49c	1,007$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.4	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Rockets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4595…df87backed Warriors	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Rockets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Warriors	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Rockets	74c	999.99$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Warriors	50c	970$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Rockets	52c	933.85$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.6	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Rockets	56c	918.08$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.67	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Warriors	27c	916.1$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.39	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3e…ec47backed Rockets	52c	828.53$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.02	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Rockets	51c	822.16$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.3	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Rockets	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rockets	52c	777.14$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.03	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Warriors won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Warriors won
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event