NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ade848497f1f1f77c75e7f2385839c85a4839de53da4fa81228048fecbc8ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,459,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,973,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,459,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 79c | 219,268$173,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,149.2 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 39c | 179,949$70,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,702.65 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Warriors | 40c | 178,340$71,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,336 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Rockets | 60c | 168,149$100,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,919.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Rockets | 61c | 165,898$101,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,859.04 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Rockets | 61c | 138,769$84,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,120.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 39c | 98,870$38,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,227.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Rockets | 62c | 94,523$58,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,889.84 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 39c | 90,000$35,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,099.96 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Rockets | 58c | 84,667$49,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,495 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Warriors | 15c | 82,602$12,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,363.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Rockets | 77c | 66,156$51,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050.89 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Rockets | 75c | 61,175$45,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,578.33 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…42b8backed Rockets | 72c | 59,703$42,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,762.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Warriors | 24c | 53,989$12,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,939.22 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…eee3backed Warriors | 0c | 52,992$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 27c | 51,580$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,987.58 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaf…6c31backed Rockets | 61c | 46,778$28,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,243.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Rockets | 60c | 37,401$22,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,876.74 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 39c | 36,781$14,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,344.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Warriors | 1c | 35,179$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.19 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 5c | 35,110$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.68 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 60c | 33,333$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,333.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 72c | 32,987$23,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.69 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 61c | 30,282$18,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,816.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Rockets | 60c | 28,883$17,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,553.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Rockets | 69c | 26,424$18,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,191.54 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 27c | 26,091$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 26c | 25,697$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.31 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 39c | 25,534$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…02c7backed Warriors | 0c | 23,465$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…c469backed Warriors | 1c | 21,036$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Rockets | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.98 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Warriors | 0c | 18,835$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 40c | 18,190$7,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,276.18 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Warriors | 42c | 17,893$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.6 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Rockets | 76c | 17,668$13,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.2 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Rockets | 62c | 17,590$10,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,684.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors | 40c | 17,554$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.54 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets | 56c | 17,167$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525.83 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 5c | 15,715$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.99 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Warriors | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 28c | 14,913$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.1 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets | 61c | 14,649$8,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,713.11 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 33c | 13,933$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.79 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 35c | 13,896$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.57 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 24c | 13,464$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.37 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 38c | 13,175$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.6 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Warriors | 41c | 11,749$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.53 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 12c | 11,661$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.71 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Warriors | 51c | 11,516$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.36 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…a0e3backed Rockets | 61c | 11,426$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…5ed3backed Warriors | 37c | 11,426$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors | 39c | 11,194$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.13 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 39c | 10,808$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 39c | 10,782$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 37c | 10,599$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 10,566$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 60c | 10,199$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.92 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Warriors | 39c | 10,000$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Rockets | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Rockets | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Warriors | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Rockets | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.91 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Rockets | 61c | 9,926$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.18 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Warriors | 40c | 9,833$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.12 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Rockets | 62c | 9,772$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Rockets | 68c | 9,742$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.42 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 39c | 9,500$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Warriors | 35c | 9,343$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Warriors | 24c | 9,309$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.46 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Warriors | 16c | 9,179$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 39c | 9,093$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Rockets | 76c | 8,819$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.29 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Warriors | 32c | 8,328$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.68 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Warriors | 25c | 8,045$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Rockets | 61c | 8,005$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.92 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked Warriors | 39c | 7,720$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 39c | 7,500$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Warriors | 46c | 7,362$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.6 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Rockets | 67c | 7,326$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.41 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Warriors | 39c | 7,200$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Warriors | 40c | 7,200$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.81 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Rockets | 63c | 7,177$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.21 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Rockets | 68c | 7,157$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.01 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Rockets | 65c | 7,072$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.26 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Warriors | 39c | 7,052$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.27 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Warriors | 36c | 6,952$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.34 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Rockets | 54c | 6,947$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.05 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 61c | 6,836$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.12 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 20c | 6,770$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.1 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Warriors | 34c | 6,686$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.56 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Rockets | 56c | 6,641$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.18 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Warriors | 55c | 6,053$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.58 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…8e9fbacked Warriors | 40c | 6,025$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Rockets | 59c | 6,015$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.92 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Rockets | 70c | 5,972$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.22 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Warriors won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.