TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c15,964$9,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.0184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under38c12,421$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c8,950$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over65c4,999$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.68429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x203b…d116backed Over60c4,655$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.185964.4%38 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c4,443$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.362,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14a…53d7backed Over64c3,134$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.025865.5%38 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Over57c2,851$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.778953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Over74c2,757$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.665350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c1,960$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under35c1,750$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,508$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c1,485$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.993,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under35c1,322$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c1,204$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.861,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over75c992.53$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c957.76$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.81,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under43c831.62$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under30c823.72$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.321,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under25c821.56$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under41c802.21$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9116242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Over71c786.08$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9610559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Over78c708.39$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.092245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over71c702.11$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1627745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c611.28$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under43c599.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25827746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under35c559$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over71c556.81$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.485160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c503.67$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.23,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under40c472.73$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.092,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d75…a24abacked Over62c459$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.26368.3%43 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c414.98$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under45c400.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under45c397.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under42c378.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.272,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under45c350.69$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under46c345.74$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under46c326.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over64c288.39$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1512454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Over71c269.4$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.014062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over55c265.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over55c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.414057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Over78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.675747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under43c246.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.786737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c183.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under39c179$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4914557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Over62c157.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.913545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over57c157.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.189641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under35c150.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c149.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under35c147.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.591,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over64c136.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0418844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under25c130.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.121915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under45c126$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over73c125.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3112752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over63c118.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7826345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under42c105.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5421149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under41c105.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over74c103.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over73c101.05$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over73c100.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.522170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9210…5430backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over73c97.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c96.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.281,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under23c94.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9211128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Under23c93.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.942642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under25c93.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb7…a4b4backed Under42c91.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.83560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over73c87.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.697153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under43c78.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb3…0f2fbacked Over56c76.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over56c71.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.529735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under25c70.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7614931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over76c64.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5618850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d89…94d0backed Over77c64.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.844052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over68c63.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2919550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over68c62.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0211346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under28c61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2536154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85939%23 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over70c59.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0813052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c58.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over79c57.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1615953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over71c54.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.994025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under38c53.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.231,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over70c52.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3616053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over62c52.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7618459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2121649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under24c48.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.647052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over53c48.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.936746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8040…5c8abacked Under40c44.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over74c44.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc138…c2e2backed Over77c41.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Over71c41.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.184742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.