TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ea8…c8bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$34.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$85.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$118.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.83
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$82.33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.93
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$42.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+318.8%+$63.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$113.63
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143%+$563.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$259.05
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$302.99
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.12
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+626.2%+$291.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.85
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,142.35
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$88.21
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.17
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.68
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.95
Will the announcers say "Unbeaten" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
Will the announcers say "Goalkeeper" 8+ times during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+218.9%+$287.48
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$17.79
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.95
Will the announcers say "Underdog" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$162.03
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-68.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.86
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.15
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Academy Sports (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$705.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$250.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.