Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f716abbe85f5838d4469244c44cc2888e5736a86fa9b2a6de10dc7cdefac58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Sentinels | 32c | 993.39$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.93 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KRÜ Esports | 45c | 801.4$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.28 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Sentinels | 41c | 756.91$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.31 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked KRÜ Esports | 63c | 595.78$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 47c | 592.2$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed KRÜ Esports | 54c | 574.76$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.17 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked KRÜ Esports | 72c | 571.19$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 52c | 509.06$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.23 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked KRÜ Esports | 66c | 506.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed KRÜ Esports | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed KRÜ Esports | 35c | 282.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed KRÜ Esports | 75c | 197.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Sentinels | 38c | 193$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 40c | 169.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KRÜ Esports | 38c | 157.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed KRÜ Esports | 59c | 148.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Sentinels | 72c | 139.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Sentinels | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked KRÜ Esports | 78c | 128.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sentinels | 35c | 122$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sentinels | 40c | 115.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels | 32c | 96.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5596…e85dbacked KRÜ Esports | 78c | 75.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed KRÜ Esports | 31c | 74.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Esports | 53c | 69.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KRÜ Esports | 61c | 51.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Sentinels | 72c | 51.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed KRÜ Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed KRÜ Esports | 60c | 48.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sentinels | 46c | 48.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 46.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Sentinels | 74c | 42.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked KRÜ Esports | 79c | 38.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sentinels | 40c | 30.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KRÜ Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Sentinels | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed KRÜ Esports | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2this page
- Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.