TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd8cd…e77c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT8242.7%35 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$215.87
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.83
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+307.6%+$230.71
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$136.97
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$54.48
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$688.05
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$42.42
Will Aurora qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$34.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.27
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$45.93
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.06
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dartbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.18
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keysbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbertbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Belluccibacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+114%+$69.52
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Asuncion 2: Santiago De La Fuente vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$31.06
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$122.06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.79
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.99
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$265.87
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+325.9%+$65.18
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$110.6
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$105.15
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.37
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+61.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$35.87
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.23
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.04
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.72
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.23
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.73
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.67
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.32
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$25.17
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.56
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.21
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Ikram Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.89
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.72
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.34
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.83
Will Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.18
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$14.27
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$25
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.43
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$33.48
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+107%+$65.24
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$50.14
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$111.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.