MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9a25966e61386933732603c7eaa6a32290b5034f35b8c99a27127267e5ea2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof San Diego Padres, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $811,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $822,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 195,121$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,999.52 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 120,000$70,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,199.99 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 119,560$76,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,997.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 92,221$38,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,177.24 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 61,613$24,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,090.14 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 54,264$35,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,992.25 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 27,077$11,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,755.94 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 25,151$14,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,345.84 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 24,899$14,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,227.04 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 18,998$11,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 18,517$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 17,406$6,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.75 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 15,085$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 12,304$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.14 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 11,128$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.34 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 10,470$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.03 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 10,118$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 8,999$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.27 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 7,042$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.79 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 6,809$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.94 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 5,634$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.83 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 5,522$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.37 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 4,225$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.87 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 4,162$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.45 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 3,712$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.84 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,646$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.51 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 3,225$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.67 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,158$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.75 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,559$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.3 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,264$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.3 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,264$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.43 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 2,250$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,219$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.79 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,210$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.57 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,965$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.36 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 1,821$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.34 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,727$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.85 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,691$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.06 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,691$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.6 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,382$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.24 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,355$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.55 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,325$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.65 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,176$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.02 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,167$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,109$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.87 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 1,054$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 991.92$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.95 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 900$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 865.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 755.49$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 745.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 18c | 736.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 703.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.53 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 680.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 662.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 660$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 590$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 542.6$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 540$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 533.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 510$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 502.51$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 500.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…4cfabacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…f6dabacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 498.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 487.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 472.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 470.59$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 461.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 457.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 385.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 384$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 379$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 368$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 363$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 357.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 346.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 330.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 329.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.