TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26a7…4fba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7428.4%21 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.39
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.15
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
Cincinnati Open: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.51
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.55
Livesport Prague Open: Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickovabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.38
Cary: J.J. Wolf vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadanbacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.19
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.05
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.31
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Sotobacked Mwendwa Mbithi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.82
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.5
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$85.69
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$593.16
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.86
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$58.55
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$341.02
Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Ferybacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+227%+$482.56
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomerybacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+253.2%+$385.28
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$148.74
Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.63
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$232.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$115.56
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.91
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$20.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.43
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$94.1
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+189.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$27.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.