Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017f79842c76a76ee2fd9d448b73cdfa85dcacd7d03c3b4c0a8e2663c4e84c27

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,041,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,478,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,041,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes	36c	2,803,087$995,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,807,985.37	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	65c	770,187$498,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498,043.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	70c	270,044$189,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189,818.52	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	61c	194,220$117,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117,843.92	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No	8c	130,001$10,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,443.03	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	48c	108,934$51,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,990.09	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes	18c	94,827$17,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,758.45	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	65c	72,028$46,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,932	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	57c	70,008$40,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,803.38	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	47c	66,666$31,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,332.98	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	74c	66,174$49,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,295.44	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	31c	58,191$17,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,198.24	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,500	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	62c	48,712$30,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,407.25	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No	40c	48,053$19,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,201.55	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No	57c	45,231$25,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,938.36	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac81…19e6backed No	0c	43,034$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+4.3wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	48c	36,676$17,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,752.08	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52b…5c72backed No	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	27c	29,884$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,883.58	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes	24c	29,472$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,471.91	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	35c	28,276$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,276.27	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	47c	27,242$12,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,693.26	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	34c	26,560$9,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,529.91	224	48.2%108 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes	43c	24,041$10,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,815.63	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No	41c	22,528$9,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,275.15	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	18c	22,222$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,222.03	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes	28c	21,216$5,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,336.6	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	64c	20,421$13,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,298.14	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd7a…b5e0backed No	0c	20,185$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes	47c	20,086$9,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,559.97	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-44%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No	66c	20,000$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,200	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	65c	20,000$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	37c	19,832$7,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,508.47	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes	36c	16,507$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,506.83	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	66c	16,471$10,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,607.03	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes	70c	16,306$11,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,936.12	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes	32c	16,187$5,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,049.5	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	19c	15,789$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,789.47	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…e03cbacked Yes	56c	15,001$8,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,600.3	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…d092backed No	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	36c	14,986$5,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,356.94	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	43c	14,362$6,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,178.34	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Yes	34c	12,600$4,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,316	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	18c	12,411$2,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,177.27	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbab…506abacked No	66c	12,400$8,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,184	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked No	0c	12,399$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked No	59c	12,000$7,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,133.76	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes	61c	12,000$7,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,680	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	35c	11,903$4,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,737.08	229	59.4%136 W · 93 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Yes	34c	11,236$3,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,415.49	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes	46c	10,870$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,869.57	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes	19c	10,526$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,526.32	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No	66c	10,100$6,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,682.91	72	69.4%50 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,100	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	18c	9,999$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,199.18	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	66c	9,878$6,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,476.18	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes	54c	9,776$5,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,488.76	350	34.3%120 W · 230 L	-24.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes	18c	9,500$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,790	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes	34c	9,082$3,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,994.28	132	37.1%49 W · 83 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed No	66c	8,856$5,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,845.19	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x563f…09b0backed No	75c	8,700$6,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,530.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No	66c	8,623$5,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,708.32	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No	68c	8,500$5,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,770	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No	41c	8,487$3,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,471.06	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No	26c	8,140$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.5	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Yes	37c	8,127$3,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,110.09	19	84.2%16 W · 3 L	+5.1wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x06fa…455cbacked Yes	51c	7,843$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,843.14	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes	40c	7,500$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	66c	7,330$4,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,837.93	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	29c	6,851$1,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,971.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…2ee5backed Yes	20c	6,446$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,173.7	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	29c	6,287$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.95	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes	26c	6,275$1,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,621.34	119	42%50 W · 69 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked No	66c	6,200$4,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,092	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes	24c	6,039$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,606.68	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes	33c	5,971$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,971.48	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f6…788abacked No	66c	5,890$3,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,887.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	27c	5,725$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,161.62	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Yes	37c	5,609$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,550.91	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	61c	5,588$3,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,179.47	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-6.6wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe2fa…de39backed Yes	41c	5,419$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,222.11	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes	34c	5,324$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,513.55	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Yes	19c	5,265$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,257.54	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,263.16	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	28c	5,122$1,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,687.84	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No	47c	5,077$2,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,378	158	46.2%73 W · 85 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes	19c	5,000$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,050	94	63.8%60 W · 34 L	+12.8wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	24c	4,892$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,721.8	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a71…a47ebacked Yes	70c	4,844$3,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.33	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f3…cadabacked Yes	72c	4,670$3,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.2	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes	26c	4,587$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,386.89	109	32.1%35 W · 74 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes	75c	4,500$3,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…cb34backed Yes	36c	4,490$1,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,873.53	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	30c	4,448$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,127.36	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes	18c	4,444$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,644.44	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No	32c	4,265$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.69	244	43%105 W · 139 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Yes	35c	4,258$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,757.6	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Yes	43c	4,069$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,321.53	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?this page
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?No won
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event