TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Hurricanes, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Hurricanes37c28,378$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5001650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Golden Knights63c20,807$13,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,698.5813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Golden Knights64c20,473$13,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,370.27038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes36c10,081$3,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.5310743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden Knights63c9,630$6,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.9911952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes36c7,623$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.5428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes36c6,736$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.0667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes31c5,439$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.3758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes37c3,096$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.379157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Golden Knights52c3,088$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Hurricanes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Golden Knights63c2,999$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.816841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights77c2,400$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Golden Knights64c2,222$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9231550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights63c2,011$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.071,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Hurricanes36c1,946$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Hurricanes37c1,638$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Golden Knights69c1,619$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Golden Knights63c1,545$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Hurricanes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Golden Knights63c1,367$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9510846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Golden Knights64c1,366$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.627857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights63c1,363$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.3133554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Hurricanes36c1,092$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3936953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Golden Knights52c1,090$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Golden Knights64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights64c982.73$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b8c…d562backed Golden Knights75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Golden Knights64c717.68$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.369258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Hurricanes36c685.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Golden Knights77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Hurricanes37c510.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Hurricanes36c509.78$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes36c457.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Hurricanes36c449.9$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.977533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Hurricanes37c428.38$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.55648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Hurricanes36c384.72$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Hurricanes35c340$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.393641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden Knights68c316$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.21,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights67c309$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.681,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes36c299.87$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Golden Knights64c296.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8824749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Hurricanes21c294.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7513747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Hurricanes38c288.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+82.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Golden Knights64c287.67$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.563360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Golden Knights65c286$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2c…88e0backed Hurricanes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Golden Knights79c258.75$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3423754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Golden Knights63c246.52$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.212343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed Golden Knights43c230.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.34100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+251.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Hurricanes36c226.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Golden Knights71c212.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaddf…87dabacked Hurricanes36c205.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed Hurricanes26c205.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Hurricanes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Golden Knights68c188.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.581157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64e…4fb2backed Golden Knights79c182.91$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…71dabacked Hurricanes37c181.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights63c180.29$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4120855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Golden Knights65c173.32$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.453253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Hurricanes26c163$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.495240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Golden Knights64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Golden Knights64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5421155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a1…4f61backed Hurricanes37c139.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hurricanes36c132.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3322250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Hurricanes22c132.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.114139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes54c119.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.292,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hurricanes36c119.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights57c116.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.335551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights71c114$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Hurricanes48c109.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Golden Knights48c104.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.611675%12 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Golden Knights64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Hurricanes35c99.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Hurricanes37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Golden Knights65c81.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3997955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Golden Knights64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecb…e058backed Golden Knights65c75.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Golden Knights64c68.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7533660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes46c67.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0317248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Golden Knights79c65.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Golden Knights71c64.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.786656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Golden Knights64c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6823063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Hurricanes37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Golden Knights65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Golden Knights50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Golden Knights65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2140162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Golden Knights65c56.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9719844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Golden Knights64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ca…3effbacked Hurricanes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1c…36fabacked Hurricanes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7340…ad75backed Hurricanes36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Golden Knights65c50.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6611159.5%66 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Golden Knights65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Hurricanes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Golden Knights71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.