TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72ca…3eff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$20.28
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+40.8%+$13.89
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+104.1%+$51
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+92.3%+$48
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+60.3%+$37.37
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+40.8%+$29
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$41
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+47.1%+$32
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+122.2%+$55
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+61.3%+$38
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$28
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.57
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+122.2%+$55
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$49
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+88.7%+$47
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+66.7%+$40
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$43
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LSU beat Florida?backed Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+143.9%+$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+48.9%+$32.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$17.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.