TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Red Wings, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x873c…ac48backed Red Wings0c10,276$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Red Wings44c4,147$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.866657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Flyers56c4,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7805534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings45c3,965$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.3735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings1c2,160$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.717450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers55c2,013$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.7531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Flyers54c1,778$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.764645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flyers53c1,000$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Red Wings46c962.22$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.426137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings13c915.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers56c499.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.741340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Red Wings48c423.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.145149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings41c417.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.371,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5f…1aecbacked Red Wings43c354.49$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Flyers57c354.49$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.431266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Red Wings49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Red Wings44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Wings45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.581,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Flyers53c183.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.024158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Flyers58c173.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.377650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3122246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea0…0467backed Red Wings48c109.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.762642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d1…f78fbacked Red Wings48c106.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ca…3effbacked Red Wings48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…db66backed Red Wings10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Red Wings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x872b…a82ebacked Flyers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Red Wings41c98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Flyers58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e09…fc91backed Flyers58c85.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.533756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa837…0d37backed Flyers52c84.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Red Wings51c81.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7631248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad77…0419backed Red Wings48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2505…a4f7backed Red Wings50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf32…f308backed Flyers52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Flyers53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.472958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Flyers58c68.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2f…588dbacked Flyers57c67.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Flyers51c64.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Red Wings48c62.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…df2abacked Flyers56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d7…1d28backed Red Wings48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926d…e629backed Red Wings48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Flyers53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a94…127bbacked Flyers52c55.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4a…1678backed Red Wings48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed2…cf5cbacked Flyers58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea5d…db0cbacked Flyers57c51.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Flyers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf136…a625backed Red Wings48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xece0…2b56backed Red Wings43c47.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Red Wings43c47.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings46c47.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.641,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e77…6c17backed Red Wings44c44.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d9…8fb9backed Flyers52c44.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3883…33b6backed Flyers52c44.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Flyers57c43.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba3…c720backed Red Wings44c43.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc02e…20e1backed Red Wings48c43.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63e5…5b3dbacked Flyers52c42.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a90…cdf5backed Flyers52c42.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfda8…1bd8backed Red Wings48c41.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9147…2acebacked Red Wings43c41.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1d…873fbacked Flyers52c41.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ea…2b39backed Flyers57c40.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…b77cbacked Red Wings43c40.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727e…b5febacked Red Wings48c39.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4d…e39bbacked Flyers53c39.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34b2…bd52backed Red Wings43c38.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4e…21b0backed Flyers57c38.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f60…83f3backed Flyers57c38.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…e5d0backed Flyers56c38.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79bb…8fc6backed Red Wings45c37.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x326a…ab14backed Red Wings42c37.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Flyers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Flyers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Red Wings43c37.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.042630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa7…05e2backed Flyers54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…6f94backed Red Wings43c36.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…751dbacked Flyers57c36.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3181…12a8backed Red Wings43c35.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Flyers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb1…966cbacked Red Wings43c35.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ac…ab8fbacked Red Wings44c35.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54dc…776ebacked Flyers56c35.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60af…45bbbacked Flyers57c35.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff6…b5dfbacked Flyers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa107…9f95backed Red Wings44c34.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Flyers56c34.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.337338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d8…dc11backed Red Wings42c32.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b13…48d1backed Flyers58c32.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…5bb0backed Flyers56c31.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Flyers51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3719150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c44…fd3bbacked Red Wings44c31.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9713…002abacked Red Wings43c30.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.