NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc113db6b4a94b9ad0abdcb7ed65c336b1c794a9759904aa4f04da04cd7a104af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Cavaliers | 63c | 21,517$13,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.85 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 42c | 11,137$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.39 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Cavaliers | 57c | 8,821$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.57 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 39c | 7,935$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 9c | 7,625$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Nuggets | 2c | 5,920$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 5,500$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.59 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Cavaliers | 76c | 4,705$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.93 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 9c | 4,441$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nuggets | 42c | 4,280$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.35 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,139$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 40c | 4,051$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.33 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 43c | 3,974$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.7 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Cavaliers | 59c | 3,492$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.36 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,432$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.24 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Cavaliers | 59c | 3,397$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.75 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Nuggets | 23c | 3,072$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 41c | 2,703$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.62 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 2,669$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Nuggets | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,360$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.74 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,163$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.53 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,992$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 41c | 1,935$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.85 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,673$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Nuggets | 1c | 1,541$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 2c | 1,510$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.88 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,367$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nuggets | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,241$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,164$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…5d4ebacked Nuggets | 2c | 1,155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +438.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 42c | 999.88$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Nuggets | 44c | 999.58$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.61 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Cavaliers | 72c | 979.44$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…969bbacked Nuggets | 19c | 900$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers | 58c | 864.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.11 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 841.39$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.21 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 821.82$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.13 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Cavaliers | 59c | 807.59$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Nuggets | 19c | 770.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 65c | 750$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Nuggets | 4c | 743.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Nuggets | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 671.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Nuggets | 7c | 657.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 615.44$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Nuggets | 39c | 571.22$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Cavaliers | 66c | 555.79$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 2c | 552.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 540.26$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…c136backed Nuggets | 7c | 533.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 58c | 500$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Nuggets | 5c | 483.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 15c | 481.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 18c | 478$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Nuggets | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 32c | 458.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Nuggets | 45c | 457.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets | 8c | 450$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 449.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Nuggets | 45c | 443.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Nuggets | 46c | 435.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 420.64$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Nuggets | 40c | 418.37$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cavaliers | 73c | 380.48$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Nuggets | 14c | 354.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 340.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Nuggets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 68c | 333.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 7c | 305.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Cavaliers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Nuggets | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Nuggets | 6c | 299.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Cavaliers | 61c | 267.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Nuggets | 14c | 264$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 254.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 254.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Nuggets | 29c | 254$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 39c | 250.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nuggets | 43c | 244.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 43c | 238.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Cavaliers | 69c | 233.7$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…d2e6backed Nuggets | 44c | 229.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Cavaliers | 66c | 226.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Cavaliers | 58c | 222.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Nuggets | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.