NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4fc5732e169a4ce50e676e9d6dd35d642da0b359c8e94200f9e30f59640e0ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b4…6ab9backed Clippers | 37c | 39,457$14,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,551.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 75c | 38,331$28,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450.64 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Clippers | 5c | 19,000$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Clippers | 13c | 15,030$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.02 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 14,347$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.37 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 14,203$9,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.98 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Timberwolves | 62c | 11,271$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.7 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Clippers | 41c | 8,912$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 6,640$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.08 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Clippers | 1c | 6,612$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Clippers | 8c | 6,320$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.11 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 37c | 6,047$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.26 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Clippers | 37c | 5,386$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 38c | 5,000$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.26 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…a075backed Timberwolves | 72c | 4,958$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Clippers | 32c | 4,390$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.04 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Timberwolves | 68c | 4,132$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.07 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clippers | 1c | 4,044$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Clippers | 18c | 4,000$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 60c | 3,876$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.29 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Clippers | 39c | 3,793$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.32 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 58c | 3,640$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Timberwolves | 61c | 3,587$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.91 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Clippers | 0c | 3,550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 3,400$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.93 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers | 40c | 3,321$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.51 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…4c11backed Clippers | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Clippers | 42c | 2,737$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.65 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 2,663$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.69 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Clippers | 37c | 2,600$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.44 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Clippers | 1c | 2,501$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Clippers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Clippers | 4c | 2,469$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,305$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.94 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 63c | 2,260$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.19 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…569cbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,200$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,150$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Clippers | 20c | 2,149$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.15 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Clippers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.16 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…d1aabacked Clippers | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 43c | 1,899$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.52 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,844$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Clippers | 6c | 1,803$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 37c | 1,800$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…2f01backed Clippers | 45c | 1,784$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…2368backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,700$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Clippers | 10c | 1,618$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Clippers | 42c | 1,522$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.02 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Clippers | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers | 40c | 1,313$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Clippers | 2c | 1,283$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Clippers | 37c | 1,203$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.12 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Clippers | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed Clippers | 44c | 1,070$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Clippers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…e8a3backed Clippers | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Clippers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Clippers | 33c | 940.68$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Timberwolves | 64c | 908.36$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…deb3backed Clippers | 38c | 787.34$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Clippers | 17c | 780.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Clippers | 40c | 748.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Clippers | 15c | 719.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Clippers | 42c | 700$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 696.22$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 635.32$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 600$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Timberwolves | 56c | 599.93$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Clippers | 37c | 591.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Clippers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Timberwolves | 63c | 560.63$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Clippers | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Clippers | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Timberwolves | 60c | 497.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Timberwolves | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Clippers | 43c | 466.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Clippers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Clippers | 39c | 409.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…ae35backed Timberwolves | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Clippers | 38c | 398$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Clippers | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 70c | 347.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 20c | 347.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 343.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Clippers | 40c | 330.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Clippers | 19c | 320$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Clippers | 39c | 317.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…4d24backed Clippers | 39c | 303.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Clippers | 37c | 302.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…66babacked Timberwolves | 75c | 301.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…2ba9backed Clippers | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b70abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.